Current Status

Yield curve (10 yr. Treas. - 3 mo.)-1.35Mar 23Yes
Yield curve (10 yr. Treas. - 2 yr.)-0.38Mar 23Yes
Consumer confidence index97.68Feb 01Yes
Business confidence index98.94Feb 01Yes
Composite lead indicator98.62Feb 01Yes
Federal funds rate4.57Feb 01Yes
Truck sales0.45Feb 01No
Financial conditions index-0.23Mar 17No
Sahm rule indicator0Feb 01No
Smoothed recession probabilities0.9Jan 01No
GDP-based recession index8.3Jul 01No
Capacity utilization77.95Feb 01Yes
Unemployment rate3.6Feb 01No

The above table summarizes the data from the indicators displayed on this site. It displays the most recent value of each indicator, the date at which the value was recorded and whether the indicator is signalling a recession.

Check back periodically to see whether your favorite indicators are flashing red!